Commodities and Macroeconomic Factors: Unconditional Volatility Measures

Fernández V.

Keywords: information criteria, robust Granger causality testing, unconditional and conditional volatility

Abstract

This study focuses on the measurement of spillover effects from macroeconomic factors to commodity volatility. It argues that such measurement is sensitive to volatility computation and to causality testing. To this end, I analyze two commodity data sets-gold and the Continuous Commodity Index (1969-2011), and twenty-four Dow Jones futures indexes (1991-2011)-and various macroeconomic indicators. I conclude that the macroeconomic factors that influence volatility generally depend on the commodity under consideration. I also explore whether commodities of the same class experience volatility shifts around the same dates, and find that this is not the case except for energy commodities.

Más información

Título según WOS: Commodities and Macroeconomic Factors: Unconditional Volatility Measures
Título de la Revista: EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE
Volumen: 50
Editorial: ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
Fecha de publicación: 2014
Página de inicio: 87
Página final: 109
Idioma: English
DOI:

10.2753/REE1540-496X5005S506

Notas: ISI