Dynamical downscaling over the complex terrain of southwest South America: present climate conditions and added value analysis

Bozkurt, Deniz; Rojas, Maisa; Boisier, Juan Pablo; Rondanelli, Roberto; Garreaud, René; Gallardo, Laura

Abstract

This study evaluates hindcast simulations performed with a regional climate model (RCM, RegCM4) driven by reanalysis data (ERA-Interim) over the Pacific coast and Andes Cordillera of extratropical South America. A nested domain configuration at 0.44. ( similar to 50 km) and 0.09 degrees. (similar to 10 km) spatial resolutions is used for the simulations. RegCM4 is also driven by a global climate model (GCM, MPI-ESM-MR) on the same domain configuration to asses the added values for temperature and precipitation (historical simulations). Overall, both 10 km hindcast and historical simulation results are promising and exhibit a better representation of near-surface air temperature and precipitation variability compared to the 50 km simulations. High-resolution simulations suppress an overestimation of precipitation over the Andes Cordillera of northern Chile found with the 50 km simulations. The simulated daily temperature and precipitation extreme indices from 10 km hindcast simulation show a closer estimation of the observed fields. A persistent warm bias (similar to + 4 degrees C) over the Atacama Desert in 10 km hindcast simulation reveals the complexity in representing land surface and radiative processes over the desert. Difficulties in capturing the temperature trend in northern Chile are notable for both hindcast simulations. Both resolutions exhibit added values for temperature and precipitation over large parts of Chile, in particular, the 10 km resolves the coastal-valley Andes transitions over central Chile. Our results highlight that resolutions coarser than 50 km (e.g., GCMs and reanalysis) miss important climate gradients imposed by complex topography. Given that the highest spatial resolution of the current regional simulations over the South America is about 50 km, higher resolutions are important to improve our understanding of the dynamical processes that determine climate over complex terrain and extreme environments.

Más información

Título según WOS: Dynamical downscaling over the complex terrain of southwest South America: present climate conditions and added value analysis
Título según SCOPUS: Dynamical downscaling over the complex terrain of southwest South America: present climate conditions and added value analysis
Título de la Revista: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
Volumen: 53
Número: 11
Editorial: Springer
Fecha de publicación: 2019
Página de inicio: 6745
Página final: 6767
Idioma: English
DOI:

10.1007/s00382-019-04959-y

Notas: ISI, SCOPUS