Historical warming consistently decreased size, dispersal and speciation rate of fish

Avaria-Llautureo, Jorge; Venditti, Chris; Rivadeneira, Marcelo M.; Inostroza-Michael, Oscar; Rivera, Reinaldo J.; Hernandez, Cristian E.; Canales-Aguirre, Cristian B.

Abstract

There is ongoing debate as to whether fish body size will decrease with global warming and how these changes may impact dispersal ability and speciation rate. Theory predicts that, under warmer temperatures, fish grow to a smaller size, undergo a reduction in dispersal ability and increase speciation rates. However, evaluations of such predictions are hampered owing to the lack of empirical data spanning both wide temporal and geographical scales. Here, using phylogenetic methods, we show that smaller clupeiform fish (anchovies and herrings) occurred historically in warmer waters, moved the shortest distances at low speed and displayed the lowest speciation rates. Furthermore, fish moved faster and evolved rapidly under higher rates of temperature change but these historical rates are far lower than current warming rates. Our results predict a future where smaller clupeiform fish that have reduced ability to move will be more prevalent; this, in turn, may reduce future speciation.

Más información

Título según WOS: Historical warming consistently decreased size, dispersal and speciation rate of fish
Título de la Revista: NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
Volumen: 11
Número: 9
Editorial: Nature Publishing Group
Fecha de publicación: 2021
Página de inicio: 787
Página final: +
DOI:

10.1038/S41558-021-01123-5

Notas: ISI