Commodities and Macroeconomic Factors: Unconditional Volatility Measures
Keywords: information criteria, robust Granger causality testing, unconditional and conditional volatility
Abstract
This study focuses on the measurement of spillover effects from macroeconomic factors to commodity volatility. It argues that such measurement is sensitive to volatility computation and to causality testing. To this end, I analyze two commodity data sets-gold and the Continuous Commodity Index (1969-2011), and twenty-four Dow Jones futures indexes (1991-2011)-and various macroeconomic indicators. I conclude that the macroeconomic factors that influence volatility generally depend on the commodity under consideration. I also explore whether commodities of the same class experience volatility shifts around the same dates, and find that this is not the case except for energy commodities.
Más información
Título según WOS: | Commodities and Macroeconomic Factors: Unconditional Volatility Measures |
Título de la Revista: | EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE |
Volumen: | 50 |
Editorial: | ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD |
Fecha de publicación: | 2014 |
Página de inicio: | 87 |
Página final: | 109 |
Idioma: | English |
DOI: |
10.2753/REE1540-496X5005S506 |
Notas: | ISI |