ARCHIMEDEAN COPULA AND CONTAGION MODELING IN EPIDEMIOLOGY

Demongeot, J.; Ghassani, M; Rachdi, M; Ouassou, I; Taramasco, C.

Keywords: malaria, transmission system, Quantile, Archimedean copula, measure of concordance

Abstract

The aim of this paper is first to find interactions between compartments of hosts in the Ross-Macdonald Malaria transmission system. So, to make clearer this association we introduce the concordance measure and then the Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho. Moreover, since the population compartments are dependent, we compute their conditional distribution function using the Archimedean copula. Secondly, we get the vector population partition into several dependent parts conditionally to the fecundity and to the transmission parameters and we show that we can divide the vector population by using p-th quantiles and test the independence between the subpopulations of susceptibles and infecteds. Third, we calculate the p-th quantiles with the Poisson distribution. Fourth, we introduce the proportional risk model of Cox in the Ross-Macdonald model with the copula approach to find the relationship between survival functions of compartments.

Más información

Título según WOS: ARCHIMEDEAN COPULA AND CONTAGION MODELING IN EPIDEMIOLOGY
Título de la Revista: NETWORKS AND HETEROGENEOUS MEDIA
Volumen: 8
Número: 1
Editorial: AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS
Fecha de publicación: 2013
Página de inicio: 149
Página final: 170
Idioma: English
DOI:

10.3934/nhm.2013.8.149

Notas: ISI