Epidemics on a weighted network with tunable degree-degree correlation

Lopes, Fabio Marcellus

Abstract

We propose a weighted version of the standard configuration model which allows for a tunable degree-degree correlation. A social network is modeled by a weighted graph generated by this model, where the edge weights indicate the intensity or type of contact between the individuals. An inhomogeneous Reed-Frost epidemic model is then defined on the network, where the inhomogeneity refers to different disease transmission probabilities related to the edge weights. By tuning the model we study the impact of different correlation patterns on the network and epidemics therein. Our results suggest that the basic reproduction number R-0 of the epidemic increases (decreases) when the degree-degree correlation coefficient rho increases (decreases). Furthermore, we show that such effect can be amplified or mitigated depending on the relation between degree and weight distributions as well as the choice of the disease transmission probabilities. In addition, for a more general model allowing additional heterogeneity in the disease transmission probabilities we show that rho can have the opposite effect on R-0. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Más información

Título según WOS: ID WOS:000337874100006 Not found in local WOS DB
Título de la Revista: MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES
Volumen: 253
Editorial: Elsevier Science Inc.
Fecha de publicación: 2014
Página de inicio: 40
Página final: 49
DOI:

10.1016/j.mbs.2014.03.013

Notas: ISI