Forecasting mortality rate by multivariate singular spectrum analysis

Konstantinides, Dimitrios

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the possibility of using multivariate singular spectrum analysis (SSA), a nonparametric technique in the field of time series analysis, for mortality forecasting. We consider a real data application with 9 European countries: Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland, over a period 1900 to 2009, and a simulation study based on the data set. The results show the superiority of multivariate SSA in comparison with the univariate SSA, in terms of forecasting accuracy.

Más información

Título según WOS: ID WOS:000417546300011 Not found in local WOS DB
Título de la Revista: APPLIED STOCHASTIC MODELS IN BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY
Volumen: 33
Número: 6
Editorial: Wiley
Fecha de publicación: 2017
Página de inicio: 717
Página final: 732
DOI:

10.1002/asmb.2274

Notas: ISI