A multi -group SEIRA model for the spread of COVID-19 among heterogeneous populations

Andres Villavicencio, H.; Pablo Biron-Lattes, Juan

Abstract

© 2020 Elsevier LtdThe outbreak and propagation of COVID-19 have posed a considerable challenge to modern society. In particular, the different restrictive actions taken by governments to prevent the spread of the virus have changed the way humans interact and conceive interaction. Due to geographical, behavioral, or economic factors, different sub-groups among a population are more (or less) likely to interact, and thus to spread/acquire the virus. In this work, we present a general multi-group SEIRA model for representing the spread of COVID-19 among a heterogeneous population and test it in a numerical case of study. By highlighting its applicability and the ease with which its general formulation can be adapted to particular studies, we expect our model to lead us to a better understanding of the evolution of this pandemic and to better public-health policies to control it.

Más información

Título según WOS: A multi -group SEIRA model for the spread of COVID-19 among heterogeneous populations
Título de la Revista: CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS
Volumen: 136
Editorial: PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
Fecha de publicación: 2020
DOI:

10.1016/J.CHAOS.2020.109925

Notas: ISI