Abstract

Background: Lack of biomarkers for treatment selection and monitoring in small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients with the limited therapeutic options, result in poor outcomes. Therefore, new prognostic biomarkers are needed to improve their management. The prognostic value of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) have been less explored in SCLC. Methods: We quantified cfDNA in 46 SCLC patients at different times during first-line of chemotherapy or chemo-immunotherapy. Moreover, CTCs were analyzed in 21 patients before therapy onset using CellSearch® system. The possible association between both biomarkers and patients' outcomes was investigated in order to develop a prognostic model. Results: High cfDNA levels before therapy were associated with shorter progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Furthermore, cfDNA levels at 3 weeks and at progression disease were also associated with patients' outcomes. Multivariate analyses confirmed the independence of cfDNA levels as a prognostic biomarker. Finally, the three-risk category prognostic model developed included Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS), gender and baseline cfDNA levels was associated with a higher risk of progression and death. Conclusions: We confirmed the prognostic utility of cfDNA quantitative analysis in SCLC patients before and during therapy. Our novel risk prognostic model in clinical practice will allow to identify patients who could benefit with actual therapies.