Modelling contact spread of infection in host-parasitoid systems: Vertical transmission of pathogens can cause chaos

Preedy, Katharine F.; Schofield, Pieta G.; Hubbard, Stephen F.

Abstract

All animals and plants are, to some extent, susceptible to disease caused by varying combinations of parasites, viruses and bacteria. In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of contact spread infection to investigate the effect of introducing a parasitoid-vectored infection into a one-host-two-parasitoid competition model. We use a system of ordinary differential equations to investigate the separate influences of horizontal and vertical pathogen transmission on a model system appropriate for a variety of competitive situations. Computational simulations and steady-state analysis show that the transient and long-term dynamics exhibited under contact spread infection are highly complex. Horizontal pathogen transmission has a stabilising effect on the system whilst vertical transmission can destabilise it to the point of chaotic fluctuations in population levels. This has implications when considering the introduction of host pathogens for the control of insect vectored diseases such as bovine tuberculosis or yellow fever. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Más información

Título según WOS: ID WOS:000274646800006 Not found in local WOS DB
Título de la Revista: JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY
Volumen: 262
Número: 3
Editorial: ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
Fecha de publicación: 2010
Página de inicio: 441
Página final: 451
DOI:

10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.10.003

Notas: ISI