Sample-Driven Optimal Stopping: From the Secretary Problem to the i.i.d. Prophet Inequality

Correa, Jose; Cristi, Andres; Epstein, Boris; Soto, Jose A.

Abstract

We take a unifying approach to single selection optimal stopping problems with random arrival order and independent sampling of items. In the problem we consider, a decision maker (DM) initially gets to sample each of N items independently with probability p, and can observe the relative rankings of these sampled items. Then, the DM faces the remaining items in an online fashion, observing the relative rankings of all revealed items. While scanning the sequence the DM makes irrevocable stop/continue decisions and her reward for stopping the sequence facing the item with rank i is Yi. The goal of the DM is to maximize her reward. We start by studying the case in which the values Yi are known to the DM, and then move to the case in which these values are adversarial. For the former case we are able to recover several classic results in the area, thus giving a unifying framework for single selection optimal stopping. For the latter, we pin down the optimal algorithm, obtaining the optimal competitive ratios for all values of p.

Más información

Título según WOS: Sample-Driven Optimal Stopping: From the Secretary Problem to the i.i.d. Prophet Inequality
Título de la Revista: MATHEMATICS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
Editorial: INFORMS
Fecha de publicación: 2023
DOI:

10.1287/moor.2023.1363

Notas: ISI