Prediction of the economic activity from the short and long-term interest rate differential: new evidences in Chile and the United States of America cases
Abstract
The purpose of this work is to verify the stability of the relationship between real activity and interest rate spread. The test is based on Chen (1988) and Osorio and Galea (2006). The analysis is applied to Chile and the United States, from 1980 to 1999. In general, in both cases the relationship was statistically significant in early 80s, but a break point is found in both countries during that decades, suggesting that the relationship depends on the monetary rule follow by the Central Bank.
Más información
Título según WOS: | Prediction of the economic activity from the short and long-term interest rate differential: new evidences in Chile and the United States of America cases |
Título según SCOPUS: | Prediction of the economic activity from the short and long-term interest rate differential: New evidences in Chile and the United States of America cases |
Título de la Revista: | Applied Economics Letters |
Volumen: | 15 |
Número: | 9 |
Editorial: | Routledge Taylor & Francis Group |
Fecha de publicación: | 2008 |
Página de inicio: | 707 |
Página final: | 712 |
Idioma: | English |
URL: | http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748950&magic=crossref||D404A21C5BB053405B1A640AFFD44AE3 |
DOI: |
10.1080/13504850600748950 |
Notas: | ISI, SCOPUS |