Abstract

The main objective of this work is the development of a short-term prediction methodology based on time series, for electricity demand and renewable generation (solar photovoltaic and wind) in Electrical Distribution Systems, using the Holt-Winters prediction technique for make the forecasts. The methodology developed was applied to a test system, obtaining good results both for electricity demand and for renewable generation, which makes it a technique applicable to real systems, with varied applications such as service restoration processes.