Abstract

The Nahuelbuta Mountain Range in the south-central zone of Chile is a biodiversity hotspot that has undergone intense land use/cover transformation. This study analyses two decades of land use change (1999-2018) in the watersheds of the Lebu and Leiva rivers. The magnitude and spatial configuration of these changes were assessed using detailed spatial information, transition matrices, and landscape metrics. The results show that between 1999 and 2018, temperate native forest decreased by 30.3% in Lebu and 22.8% in Leiva, being replaced mainly by exotic forest plantations, which increased by 20.2% and 13.5%, respectively. The spatiotemporal analysis revealed losses concentrated in the lowland and middle zones of both watersheds, with persistence of temperate native forest in higher elevations. Landscape metrics showed an increase in diversity (SIDI: Lebu 0.41-0.65; Leiva 0.29-0.57) and a decrease in aggregation (AI: 92-86%; 95-90%). At the class level, the temperate native forest presented greater fragmentation, with a reduction in size and proximity, an increase in density, and more irregular shapes. In contrast, exotic forest plantations increased in size and proximity, with a slight decrease in density and greater complexity of form, consolidating their expansion and spatial continuity in both watersheds. These findings emphasise the need to implement territorial planning and conservation strategies adapted to the Nahuelbuta context, through native forest management plans that promote ecological conservation, the recovery of degraded landscapes, and the strengthening of ecosystem services, thus contributing to the well-being of local communities and long-term environmental sustainability.