The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector. A non-linear agricultural supply model

Roberto Ponce; Maria Blanco; Carlo Giupponi

Abstract

Agriculture could be one of the most vulnerable economic sectors to the impacts of climate change in the coming decades, with impacts threatening agricultural production in general and food security in particular. Within this context, climate change will impose a challenge to policy makers, especially in those countries that based their development on primary sectors. In this paper we present a non-linear agricultural supply model for the analysis of the economic impacts of changes in crop yields due to climate change. The model accounts for uncertainty through the use of Monte Carlo simulations about crop yields. According to our results, climate change impacts on the Chilean agricultural sector are widespread, with considerable distributional consequences across regions, and with fruits producers being worst-off than crops producers. In general, the results reported here are consistent with those reported by previous studies showing large economic impacts on the northern zone. However, our model does not simulate remarkable economic consequences at the country level as previous studies did.

Más información

Título según WOS: The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector. A non-linear agricultural supply model
Título según SCOPUS: The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector. A non-linear agricultural supply model
Título según SCIELO: The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector: A non-linear agricultural supply model
Título de la Revista: CHILEAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH
Volumen: 74
Número: 4
Editorial: INST INVESTIGACIONES AGROPECUARIAS
Fecha de publicación: 2014
Página de inicio: 404
Página final: 412
Idioma: English
DOI:

10.4067/S0718-58392014000400005

Notas: ISI, SCIELO, SCOPUS