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Sergio Andrés Estay Cabrera

Auxiliar Professor

Universidad Austral de Chile

Valdivia, Chile

Population Ecology, Applied ecology

Forestry, UNIVERSIDAD DE CHILE. Chile, 2001
Biological sciences, PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA DE CHILE. Chile, 2007
Ecology, PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA DE CHILE. Chile, 2009

Posdoctoral researcher Full Time

PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA DE CHILE

Biological Sciences

Santiago, Chile

2009 - 2011
Professor Full Time

UNIVERSIDAD AUSTRAL DE CHILE

Sciences

Valdivia, Chile

2011 - A la fecha

Project manager Full Time

Agricultural and Livestock Service

Santiago, Chile

2001 - 2005

Undergraduate lectures in Ecology, Statistics, Universidad Austral de Chile

Graduate lectures in Population Ecology and Statistics in the PhD program in Ecology and Evolution, Universidad Austral de Chile


Ecology of the collapse of Rapa Nui society Lima, M.; Gayo, E. M.; Latorre, C.; Santoro, C. M.; Estay, S. A.; Cañellas-Boltà, N.; Margalef, O.; Giralt, S.; Sáez, A.; Pla-Rabes, S.; Chr. Stenseth, N. Article PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF LONDON SERIES B-CONTAINING PAPERS OF A BIOLOGICAL CHARACTER (2020)
Spatio-temporal assessment of beech growth in relation to climate extremes in Slovenia – An integrated approach using remote sensing and tree-ring data Decuyper, Mathieu; Chávez, Roberto O.; ?ufar, Katarina; Estay, Sergio A.; Clevers, Jan G.P.W.; Prislan, Peter; Gri?ar, Jožica; ?repinšek, Zalika; Merela, Maks; de Luis, Martin; Notivoli, Roberto Serrano; del Castillo, Edurne Martinez; Rozendaal, Danaë M.A.; Bongers, Frans; Herold, Martin; Sass-Klaassen, Ute Article SCOPUS Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (2020)
A Self-Calibrated Non-Parametric Time Series Analysis Approach for Assessing Insect Defoliation of Broad-Leaved Deciduous Nothofagus pumilio Forests Chavez, RO; Rocco, R; Gutierrez AG; Dorner, M; Estay, SA Article ISI SCOPUS REMOTE SENSING (2019)
Integrating species and interactions into similarity metrics: a graph theory-based approach to understanding community similarity LÃ³pez D.N.; Camus P.A.; Valdivia N.; Estay S.A. Article ISI SCOPUS PeerJ (2019)
Quantifying massive outbreaks of the defoliator moth Ormiscodes amphimone in deciduous Nothofagus-dominated southern forests using remote sensing time series analysis Estay, Sergio A.; Chavez, Roberto O.; Rocco, Ronald; Gutierrez, Alvaro G. Article ISI SCOPUS JOURNAL OF APPLIED ENTOMOLOGY (2019)
The amphibian-killing fungus in a biodiversity hotspot: identifying and validating high-risk areas and refugia Bacigalupe L.D.; VÃ¡squez I.A.; Estay S.A.; Valenzuela-SÃ¡nchez A.; Alvarado-Rybak M.; PeÃ±afiel-Ricaurte A.; Cunningham A.A.; Soto-Azat C. Article ISI SCOPUS ECOSPHERE (2019)
Widespread infection of Areospora rohanae in southern king crab (Lithodes santolla) populations across south Chilean Patagonia Rodríguez, S. M.; Uribe, J. C.; Estay, S. A.; Palacios, M.; Pinochet, R.; Oyarzún, S.; Valdivia, N. Article ISI SCOPUS ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE (2019)
Food webs over time: evaluating structural differences and variability of degree distributions in food webs LÃ³pez D.N.; Camus P.A.; Valdivia N.; Estay, S.A. Article ISI SCOPUS Ecosphere (2018)
Protected areas effectiveness under climate change: a latitudinal distribution projection of an endangered mountain ungulate along the Andes Range Riquelme, Carlos; Estay, Sergio A.; Lopez, Rodrigo; Pastore, Hernan; Soto-Gamboa, Mauricio; Corti, Paulo Article ISI SCOPUS PeerJ (2018)
Sex bias in ability to cope with cancer: Tasmanian devils and facial tumour disease Ruiz-Aravena M.; Jones M.E.; Carver S.; Estay S.; Espejo C.; Storfer A.; Hamede R.K. Article ISI SCOPUS Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2018)
The relative role of ecological interactions and environmental variables on the population dynamics of marine benthic polychaetes Labra, FA; Moreno, RA; Alvarado, SA; Carrasco, FD; Estay, SA; Rivadeneira, MM Article ISI MARINE BIODIVERSITY (2018)
High temporal variability in the occurrence of consumer-resource interactions in ecological networks Lopez, Daniela N.; Camus, Patricio A.; Valdivia, Nelson; Estay, Sergio A. Article ISI SCOPUS OIKOS (2017)
Size matters=> point pattern analysis biases the estimation of spatial properties of stomata distribution. Naulin, Paulette I; Valenzuela, Gerardo; Estay, Sergio A Article The New phytologist (2017)
Correspondence between the habitat of the threatened pudu (Cervidae) and the national protected-area system of Chile Pavez-Fox, M; Estay, SA Article BMC Ecology (2016)
Ectotherms in Variable Thermal Landscapes=> A Physiological Evaluation of the Invasive Potential of Fruit Flies Species. Boher, Francisca; Trefault, Nicole; Estay, Sergio A; Bozinovic, Francisco Article Frontiers in physiology (2016)
Bird Richness and Abundance in Response to Urban Form in a Latin American City: Valdivia, Chile as a Case Study Silva, Carmen Paz; Garca, Cristbal E.; Estay, Sergio A.; Barbosa, Olga; Chapman, Maura (Gee) Geraldine Article ISI SCOPUS PLOS ONE (2015)
Combining environmental suitability and population abundances to evaluate the invasive potential of the tunicate Ciona intestinalis along the temperate South American coast Januario, SM; Estay, SA; Labra, FA; Lima M. Article PeerJ (2015)
Whooping cough dynamics in Chile (1932-2010): disease temporal fluctuations across a north-south gradient Lima M.; Estay, SA; Fuentes R.; Rubilar, P; Broutin, H; Chowell-Puente, G Article BMC Infectious Diseases (2015)
Differential responses to thermal variation between fitness metrics Clavijo-Baquet, Sabrina; Boher, Francisca; Ziegler, Lucia; Martel, Sebastián I.; Estay, Sergio A.; Bozinovic, Francisco Article ISI SCOPUS Scientific Reports (2014)
Evaluating habitat suitability for the establishment of Monochamus spp. through climate-based niche modeling. Estay, Sergio A; Labra, Fabio A; Sepulveda, Roger D; Bacigalupe, Leonardo D Article PloS one (2014)
Impact of global warming at the range margins: phenotypic plasticity and behavioral thermoregulation will buffer an endemic amphibian Ruiz-Aravena M.; Gonzalez-Mendez A.; Estay, S.A.; Gaitan-Espitia J.D.; Barria-Oyarzo I.; Bartheld J.L.; Bacigalupe, L.D. Article ISI SCOPUS ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2014)
The role of temperature variability on insect performance and population dynamics in a warming world Estay, SA; Lima, M.,; Bozinovic F. Article ISI OIKOS (2014)
Acclimation to daily thermal variability drives the metabolic performance curve Bozinovic Francisco; Catalan Tamara; Estay Sergio; Sabat Pablo Article Evolutionary Ecology Research (2013)
Warming effects in the western Antarctic Peninsula ecosystem: the role of population dynamic models for explaining and predicting penguin trends Lima, M.,; Estay, SA Article ISI SCOPUS Population Ecology (2013)
Effects of human mediated disturbances on exotic forest insect diversity in a Chilean mediterranean ecosystem Estay, S.A.; Navarrete, S.A.; Rothmann Toro S. Article ISI SCOPUS Biodiversity and Conservation (2012)
Increased outbreak frequency associated with changes in the dynamic behaviour of populations of two aphid species Estay, S.A.; Lima, M.,; Labra, F.A.; Harrington, R Article ISI SCOPUS Oikos (2012)
Late Quaternary hydrological and ecological changes in the hyperarid core of the northern Atacama Desert (similar to 21 degrees S) Gayo, E.M.,; Latorre, C.; Jordan, T.E.; Nester, P.L.; Estay, S.A.; Ojeda, K.F.; Santoro, C. M. Article ISI SCOPUS Earth-Science Reviews (2012)
A Simultaneous Test of Synchrony Causal Factors in Muskrat and Mink Fur Returns at Different Scales across Canada Estay, SA; Albornoz, AA; Lima, M.,; Boyce, MS; Stenseth, NC Article ISI SCOPUS PLOS ONE (2011)
Beyond average: an experimental test of temperature variability on the population dynamics of Tribolium confusum Estay, SA; Clavijo-Baquet, S; Lima, M.,; Bozinovic F. Article ISI SCOPUS Population Ecology (2011)
Data analysis in forest sciences: Why do we continue using null hypothesis significance tests? Análisis de datos en ciencias forestales: ¿por qué continuar usando pruebas de significancia estadística? Estay, S.A.; Naulin, P.i. Article BOSQUE (2011)
The Mean and Variance of Environmental Temperature Interact to Determine Physiological Tolerance and Fitness Bozinovic F.; Bastias, DA; Boher F.; Clavijo-Baquet, S; Estay, SA; Angilletta, MJ Article ISI SCOPUS Physiological and Biochemical Zoology (2011)
Combined effect of ENSO and SAM on the population dynamics of the invasive yellowjacket wasp in central Chile Estay, SA; Lima, M., Article ISI SCOPUS Population Ecology (2010)
Climate mediated exogenous forcing and synchrony in populations of the oak aphid in the UK Estay, SA; Lima, M.,; Harrington, R Article ISI SCOPUS OIKOS (2009)
Predicting insect pest status under climate change scenarios: combining experimental data and population dynamics modelling Estay, SA; Lima, M.,; Labra, FA Article ISI SCOPUS JOURNAL OF APPLIED ENTOMOLOGY (2009)
Non-linear feedback processes and a latitudinal gradient in the climatic effects determine green spruce aphid outbreaks in the UK Lima, M.,; Harrington, R; Saldana, S; Estay, S. Article ISI SCOPUS OIKOS (2008)
Northern Atlantic Oscillation effects on the temporal and spatial dynamics of green spruce aphid populations in the UK Saldana, S; Lima, M.,; Estay, S. Article ISI SCOPUS JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY (2007)


Forest Pest and Disease Management in Latin America: Modern Perspectives in Natural Forests and Exotic Plantations Estay, Sergio A.; Estay, Sergio A. BookWhole (2020)
Invasive insects in the mediterranean forests of Chile Estay, S.A. BookWhole SCOPUS Insects and Diseases of Mediterranean Forest Systems (2016)


Desarrollo de una plataforma para predecir la distribución potencial de plagas cuarentenarias del sector silvoagropecuario chileno FIA (PYT-2016-0203) Proyecto 2016-2019 Inv. Responsable
Massive defoliation in Patagonian forests=> untangling the ecological mechanisms driving insect outbreak dynamics FONDECYT (1160370) Proyecto 2016-2020 Inv. Responsable
UNRAVELING THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL CHANGE DRIVERS ON CHILEAN AMPHIBIANS=> EMERGING DISEASES, LAND USE-CHANGE AND CLIMATE WARMING FONDECYT (1150029) Proyecto 2015-2019 Coinvestigador(a)
Centro de Ecología Aplicada y Sustentabilidad (CAPES) PIA (FB-0002) Proyecto 2014-2018 Coinvestigador(a)
WHOOPING COUGH DYNAMICS IN CHILE=> STATISTICAL MODELING ALONG A LATITUDINAL GRADIENT FONDECYT (1141164) Proyecto 2014-2017 Coinvestigador(a)
WHOOPING COUGH DYNAMICS IN CHILE=> STATISTICAL MODELING ALONG A LATITUDINAL GRADIENT FONDECYT (1141164) Proyecto 2014-2017 Coinvestigador(a)
Descifrando los efectos del clima en poblaciones de pingüinos=> aplicaciones de la teoría de dinámica poblacional INACH (G_10-10) Proyecto 2011-2012 Coinvestigador(a)
Dinámica poblacional de invasiones biológicas en Chile=> entendiendo su estatus actual y futuro en un escenario de cambio global PFCHA (79100021) Proyecto 2011-2013 Inv. Principal
Center for Advanced Studies in Ecology and Biodiversity. FONDAP (15010001) Proyecto 2001-2011 Coinvestigador(a)